2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
2 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
3 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
5 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
5 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% < 1%
7 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
8 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
9 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
9 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
11 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
12 CHEN Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
13 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
14 HUANG Connor 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
15 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
16 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
17 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
18 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
19 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
19 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
21 MORALES Jonathan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
22 WANG Charles 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
23 BROU Inkosi 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
23 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
25 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
26 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
27 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11% 1%
28 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
29 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 2%
30 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8%
31 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
32 WU Wilmund 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
33 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
34 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
35 FIGUEREDO Adrian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
36 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 24% 4%
37 LIU Lawrence 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
38 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
39 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
40 PAN Alex 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
41 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 99% 84% 42% 11% 1% -
42 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
42 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 3%
42 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
45 RODE Leon J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
46 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
47 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
48 GINSBERG jordan 100% 95% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
49 KESSLER Josh 100% 92% 57% 17% 2% - -
50 SHI Jeremy 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
51 PERRON Robert 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
52 DEKA Tanush 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
53 SAVOY Luca 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
54 OH Triton 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
55 HU Andrew 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
56 STERN Tobias 100% 93% 59% 18% 3% - -
57 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
58 MOULTON Ian 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
59 HUANG Tom 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
60 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
61 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
62 ELIN Adam E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
63 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
64 OU Brian 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
65 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
66 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 96% 60% 20% 3% - -
67 MEAD Matthew 100% 88% 32% 5% - - -
68 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
69 WEIL Asher D. 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
70 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
71 TROPE Aidan 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
72 RAGAN STEINSSON Sigurdur 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
72 YEUNG Jerry 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
74 GILPIN Samuel 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
75 TSAO Oliver 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
75 JEHU Cian 100% 25% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.