2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 4:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
2 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
5 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
6 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
7 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
8 WANG daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
9 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
9 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
11 HE Bowen 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
12 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
13 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
14 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
15 BRANDT Jaden 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
16 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
17 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
18 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
19 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
19 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
21 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
22 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
23 KESSLER Nathan 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
24 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
25 ALAVE Kyle 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
26 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
27 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
28 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
29 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
30 LEE Matthew 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
31 CHUNG Connor 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
32 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 13%
33 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
34 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
35 SINGER Marcus 100% 95% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
36 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
37 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11%
38 OH Aster 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% -
39 MENDOZA Diwa 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1%
40 NG Jonathan 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
41 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
42 ANAND Sahil Z. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
43 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
44 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
45 MARGULIAN Grant 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
46 WONG Caleb W. 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
47 LEE Andrew 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
48 LIGH Checed 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
49 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
50 KATZ Ryan 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
51 HERR Gabriele 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
52 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
53 MENON Arjun 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
54 LEUNG Ian 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
55 LAUB William 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
56 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
57 AUDOLY Maxim 100% 97% 75% 30% 5% -
58 MONTALVO Matthew 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
59 LIM Brandon 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
60 MILLET Etienne 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
61 DOCIL Jack 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
62 CARROLL Charles 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
63 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% -
64 BUCK Maximilian 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
65 BLEY Gabriel 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
66 ONG Dylan 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
67 VON JAN Vincent 100% 94% 49% 13% 2% - -
68 GOLD Max 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
69 WHITE Blake 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - -
70 LIU Alexander 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.