April Championship and NAC

Div II Men's Saber

Friday, April 12, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHOU Matthew R. - - - 3% 18% 45% 33%
2 SOHN Kevin J. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 WUN William - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
3 YAN Jack P. 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
5 FLORES Peter D. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
6 TANG Brendan J. - - 4% 16% 36% 33% 11%
7 YOUNG Nash - - 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
8 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
9 KANG Brandon M. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
10 DHINGRA Gian K. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
11 QUAN Nicholas - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 19%
12 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - 1% 8% 22% 33% 27% 9%
13 WINKLER Lucas G. - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
14 LEVIN Mark A. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
15 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
16 DANNULL Linus N. - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
17 MCMANIGAL Matthew L. - 1% 11% 33% 40% 14%
18 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
19 ZU Kevin - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
20 BARBER Brendan 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
21 PORTMANN Stein J. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
22 ASHBY Ethan J. 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
23 TANG Alex Y. - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
24 WESLER Logan A. 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
25 KADID Mohammed F. 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
26 NEUHEARDT Peter 2% 23% 41% 26% 7% 1%
27 AUSTIN Adam - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
28 MORRIS Samuel A. - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
29 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
30 LIU kelly 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
31 CHEONG Heonjae - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
32 VILLARREAL Mateo 38% 48% 13% 1% - - -
33 ELIN Adam E. 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
34 ERACHSHAW Taras P. - 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
35 KIM Benjamin H. - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
36 HOUTZ Jackson 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
37 MENON Rohan C. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
38 COVINGTON Max G. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
39 WILDMAN John - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
40 GILLIGAN Wolff 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3%
41 OWENS William - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
42 FONZO Ian - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
43 SINGER Carson - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 23%
44 BRUSIE Christopher R. - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
45 HUDDY Brandon J. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
46 POPE Nico 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
47 WU Nicholas R. 1% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
47 REBELLO Derek 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
49 SHANAHAN Adam E. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
50 RAJA Arnav 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
51 RABINKOV Anthony 5% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1%
52 HASNAH Henry 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
53 SUORSA Markus 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
54 BARBER William S. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
55 LE Hayden 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
56 COTTER Liam - - 1% 10% 30% 41% 17%
57 HUANG Zekai 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3% -
58 KOTOV Leonid 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
59 YEN Preston - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
60 MOORE Evan M. 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
61 HUANG Eric 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
62 BERGER Oliver - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
63 MENON Rishi 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
64 HENNICKE Michael G. < 1% 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
65 LU Evan 24% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
66 EPSTEIN Henry N. 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
67 PEARSON James G. 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
68 DESAI Drewv D. 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
69 GREENBAUM Ian L. 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
70 REED Samuel J. 16% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
71 BRAR Sanjeet 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
72 LEITH Jack 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
73 MADRID Derek 14% 33% 31% 16% 4% 1% -
74 LEUNG Matthew 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
75 LEUNG Nathan 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
76 HICHA Paul R. 4% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
77 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 46% 40% 13% 2% - -
78 KILBOURNE Lance 3% 31% 42% 20% 4% - -
79 TIERNO Thomas J. 67% 29% 4% - - -
80 ESPARZA Hilario 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.