March NAC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, March 4, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Eric Jonathan - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
2 CHANG Jeremy 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
3 FUKUDA Brando 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
3 YU ShiYu (Henry) - 1% 9% 29% 40% 19% 3%
5 FEDELI Francesco - - - - 5% 31% 64%
6 DESERANNO Leander - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
7 BIELER Mason - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
8 TOOMRE Kai - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
9 SIMONOV Timofey - - - - 3% 26% 71%
10 YANG Charles - 1% 5% 19% 33% 31% 11%
11 ZHENG Marcus - - 2% 14% 38% 39% 8%
12 MO Ethan - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
13 TANG Royce - 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 4%
14 CHEN Hanson 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
15 JIN Andy - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
16 SUAREZ David 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
17 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
18 WANDJI Noah - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
19 LI Bradley - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
20 HUA Aaron 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
21 DOELL Ethan - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
22 QU Zhida (richard) - 5% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
23 HOU Gaven - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
24 REN Ryan 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
25 WU Thomas 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
26 CHENG Logan - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
27 MORROW Sean - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 8%
28 PARK William 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
29 HAYES Stewart - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
30 YAN Rian 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
31 POPOKH Luca 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% - -
32 QIAN Henry 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
33 ZHAO Nathan - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
34 GRIGORIEV Michael - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
35 QIAN Zekai 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% -
36 CHANG Jonathan - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 8%
37 HUANG Jinyao 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
38 WANG Ancen 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
39 KIM Andrew 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
40 WEI JR Shan - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
41 ZHOU Alex 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
42 XIE Jayden 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
43 HE Ryan 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
44 XU Nathan - 2% 12% 34% 37% 13% 1%
45 LU Alex - - < 1% 4% 17% 40% 39%
46 BRITTNELL Nicolas 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
47 YU ShiLin (Harry) 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
48 PAULUS Gregory 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
49 LU Hansen 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
50 JAZWINSKI Ryan 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
51 SHAW eric 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
52 ZHAI Derrick 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
53 KO Caleb 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
54 AMR HOSSNY Adam 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
55 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
56 KOE Declan 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
57 SEVOSTYANOV Timofey 39% 42% 16% 2% - - -
58 MARCUS Vincent 46% 39% 12% 2% - - -
59 LIN Wilson 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
59 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanuel 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
61 SAMIR Rehan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
62 YU Rainger 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
62 PACK Lindsey 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.