March NAC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, March 4, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
2 CHANG Jeremy 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
3 FUKUDA Brando 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
3 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 3%
5 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
6 DESERANNO Leander 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
7 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
8 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
9 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
10 YANG Charles 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
11 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 8%
12 MO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
13 TANG Royce 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 4%
14 CHEN Hanson 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
15 JIN Andy 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
16 SUAREZ David 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
17 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
18 WANDJI Noah 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
19 LI Bradley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
20 HUA Aaron 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
21 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
22 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% -
23 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
24 REN Ryan 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
25 WU Thomas 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
26 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
27 MORROW Sean 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 8%
28 PARK William 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
29 HAYES Stewart 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
30 YAN Rian 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5% -
31 POPOKH Luca 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
32 QIAN Henry 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
33 ZHAO Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
34 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
35 QIAN Zekai 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
36 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
37 HUANG Jinyao 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
38 WANG Ancen 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
39 KIM Andrew 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
40 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
41 ZHOU Alex 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
42 XIE Jayden 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
43 HE Ryan 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
44 XU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14% 1%
45 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
46 BRITTNELL Nicolas 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
47 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
48 PAULUS Gregory 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
49 LU Hansen 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
50 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
51 SHAW eric 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
52 ZHAI Derrick 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
53 KO Caleb 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
54 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
55 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
56 KOE Declan 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
57 SEVOSTYANOV Timofey 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
58 MARCUS Vincent 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
59 LIN Wilson 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
59 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanuel 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
61 SAMIR Rehan 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
62 YU Rainger 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
62 PACK Lindsey 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.