March NAC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIN Julia - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 LEE REGINA - - - - 5% 28% 67%
3 PROFIS Liora - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
3 LEE Claire - 1% 6% 25% 48% 20%
5 SMUK Alexandra S. - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
6 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
7 YILMAZ Pinar - - 2% 12% 41% 46%
8 SHIV Avni - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
9 WANG Jessie - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
10 STERR Isabella M. - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
11 LUO Amy - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
11 ZHAN Nancy - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
13 CAFASSO Natalya - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
14 SU Evelyn - - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
15 PHUKAN Indra - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
16 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
17 KUMAR Eva - 1% 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
18 QIU Emily - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 19%
19 WATTANAKIT Anda - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
20 WANG Ziqi - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
21 LISCUM Vivian 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
22 MOLLINIER Anais - 2% 13% 37% 37% 11%
23 NIX Reagan - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
24 DEPOMMIER Isabelle - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
25 HOY Emmarose 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
26 RICHARDSON Meredith 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
27 MONOVA Lilyana 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
28 BOROTKO Katerina 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 5% -
29 FRANGER Macy 1% 13% 35% 36% 14% 2% -
30 WANG Victoria - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22% 2%
31 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
32 CUEVA Viola 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
33 GUO Luxi - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
34 IYER Ishana - 3% 15% 31% 34% 15% 1%
35 MISHIMA Audrey 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
36 LEE Gloria - 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
37 BEATIE Isabella M. - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
38 SUN Hanya - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
39 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
40 MCQUEEN Morgan 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
41 LEE Camilla - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
42 CARRIER Meredith - 1% 6% 26% 49% 19%
43 YOUNG VIVIAN - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16%
44 WRIGHT Madison 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
45 GUAN Isabella - 1% 6% 23% 41% 27% 3%
46 NOVOJILOV Anastasia - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
47 SOLDATOVA Sophia 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
48 JI Catherine 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
49 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
50 SUN Zeyu 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
51 WANG Sara - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
52 HANKINS Morgan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
53 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 4% 26% 42% 23% 5% -
54 BI Michelle 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
55 HALE Avery 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
56 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
57 MENKIN Kate 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
58 GANSER Nicole 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
59 YOUSSEF Caroline 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% -
60 WANG Ziqiao 5% 25% 40% 25% 5% -
61 TISMENSKY Avital 5% 24% 40% 26% 5% -
62 TAM Connie 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
63 QI Julieanne 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
64 KANASKAR Ila 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
65 SCHMITT Harper - 3% 16% 39% 34% 8%
66 NEELAM Navya - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
67 LIN Ariel - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
68 MARTINEZ Christina 14% 41% 34% 11% 1% -
69 NGUYEN Ella 11% 34% 37% 16% 2% -
70 DESAI Ela 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
71 CHADDA Farah 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
72 LY Hannah 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
73 WOOLF Fredrika 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
73 ZHONG Isabell 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
75 CHEN Alina 16% 38% 32% 11% 2% - -
76 YAO Chloe 9% 39% 38% 12% 2% -
77 LEE Kate 56% 36% 8% 1% - -
78 WU Jessica 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
79 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 75% 23% 2% - - - -
80 PEI Claire 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
81 ZHANG Jane 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
82 WORKNEH Lulit 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% - -
82 XU Serena 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
84 KROPP Anne 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
85 XU Jessica 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% -
86 ELTERMAN Kate 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
87 FANG jenna kim 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
88 TISMENSKY Abigail 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
88 STERN Savannah 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
90 SCHOR Elisabeth 1% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
91 OLSON Olivia 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
92 WANG Sijia 38% 43% 16% 2% - -
93 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 10% 39% 36% 13% 2% - -
94 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.