March NAC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
2 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
3 LEE Claire 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 20%
5 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
6 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
7 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
8 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
9 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
10 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
11 LUO Amy 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
11 ZHAN Nancy 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
13 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
14 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 10%
15 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
16 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
17 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
18 QIU Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
19 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
20 WANG Ziqi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
21 LISCUM Vivian 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
22 MOLLINIER Anais 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
23 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
24 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
25 HOY Emmarose 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
26 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
27 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
28 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
29 FRANGER Macy 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
30 WANG Victoria 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
31 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
32 CUEVA Viola 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
33 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
34 IYER Ishana 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 17% 1%
35 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
36 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
37 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
38 SUN Hanya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
39 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
40 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
41 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
42 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 19%
43 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
44 WRIGHT Madison 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
45 GUAN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29% 3%
46 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% 1%
47 SOLDATOVA Sophia 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
48 JI Catherine 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
49 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
50 SUN Zeyu 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
51 WANG Sara 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
52 HANKINS Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
53 TALANDZEVICIUS Sophia 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
54 BI Michelle 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
55 HALE Avery 100% 84% 45% 13% 1% -
56 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
57 MENKIN Kate 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
58 GANSER Nicole 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
59 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
60 WANG Ziqiao 100% 95% 70% 30% 5% -
61 TISMENSKY Avital 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
62 TAM Connie 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
63 QI Julieanne 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
64 KANASKAR Ila 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
65 SCHMITT Harper 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
66 NEELAM Navya 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
67 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
68 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
69 NGUYEN Ella 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% -
70 DESAI Ela 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
71 CHADDA Farah 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
72 LY Hannah 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
73 WOOLF Fredrika 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
73 ZHONG Isabell 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
75 CHEN Alina 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
76 YAO Chloe 100% 91% 52% 14% 2% -
77 LEE Kate 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
78 WU Jessica 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
79 KUPPUSAMY Mahaa 100% 25% 3% - - - -
80 PEI Claire 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
81 ZHANG Jane 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
82 WORKNEH Lulit 100% 91% 60% 21% 4% - -
82 XU Serena 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
84 KROPP Anne 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
85 XU Jessica 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
86 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
87 FANG jenna kim 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
88 TISMENSKY Abigail 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
88 STERN Savannah 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
90 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 1% -
91 OLSON Olivia 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
92 WANG Sijia 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
93 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 90% 51% 16% 2% - -
94 TISHKOVA-ROBERTS Daria 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.