Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
2 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
5 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 9%
6 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
7 KENT V David 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
8 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
9 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
10 LOFTUS Luca 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
10 LEE JiYuen 100% 96% 74% 34% 6% < 1%
12 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
13 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
14 LEE Damien 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
15 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 39% 8%
16 YU Austin 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
17 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
18 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
19 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
20 RONG Gordon 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
21 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
22 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
23 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
24 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
25 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
26 LI Yunji 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
27 LIANG Eric 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
28 TAI Edison 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8%
29 LIU Yueri 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
30 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
31 LEE Kwonwoo 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
32 HSU Joshua 100% 53% 15% 2% - -
33 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
34 ANDERSON Kai 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
35 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
36 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
37 BHATT Arjun 100% 99% 85% 51% 16% 2%
38 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 77% 33% 6% 1% -
39 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 5%
40 LI zerong 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
41 MILEY Walker 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
42 BAKKEN Archer 100% 71% 22% 3% -
43 KIM Teddy 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
44 HAN Wyatt 100% 100% 93% 65% 21% 1%
45 BAXTER Max 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
46 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 93% 63% 25% 4% -
47 MAXU Tiger 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
48 BARRERA Nathanael 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
49 DONG Haiyi 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
50 TANG Zheng 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
51 KIM Remington 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
51 KALILI Alaka'i 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
53 LEUNG Dylan 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
54 RAHMAN Ali 100% 99% 87% 48% 10%
55 GOROZA Eric 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
56 SHEN Jiayi 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
57 HALL Gabriel 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
58 DU Peter 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
59 KIM Alexander 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
60 LAU Alex 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
61 LEE Aidan 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
62 FU Adrian 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
63 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
64 ZHAO Colin 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
65 KIM Justin 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
66 WU Johnny y. 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1%
67 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
68 LAM Ethan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
69 HUANG Yidong Allen 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 1%
70 GONZALES Leonardo (Leo) 100% 62% 15% 1% -
71 WANG aaron 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
72 GUO Woody 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
73 CLAES Thomas 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
74 JIANG Aaron 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
75 WANG Devin 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
76 MA Houhin 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.