American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, September 4, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Orange County Convention Center - Hall WD1 - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Minghan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
2 PAN Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
3 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
5 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
6 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
7 LIN Steve 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
8 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
9 LIU Lawrence 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
10 CHEN Samuel 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
11 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
12 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 92% 62% 21% 3%
13 DECK Tyson 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
14 DUDNICK Christian 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
15 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
16 WANG Justin 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 1%
17 YE Eric 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 1%
18 SHI Ivan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
19 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
20 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
21 ZHAO ERIC 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
22 CONTRERAS Ismael 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1%
23 GONG Gavin 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
24 FANG Eason 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
25 TIAGI Daniel 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
26 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% -
27 TIAGI George 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
28 WANG Michael 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
29 SUN Bill 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
30 STORER Julian 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
31 XIA Matthew 100% 37% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.