American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, September 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Hall WD1 - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Minghan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
2 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
3 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 26%
5 GUAN Luke 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
6 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
7 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
8 BONSELL Vance 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
9 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
10 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
11 GRAINGER Graeme 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 4% -
12 LIN Steve 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
13 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 6% -
14 DUPREE Thomas 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
15 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
16 TIAGI Daniel 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
17 PAN Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 15%
18 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
19 DUDNICK Christian 100% 97% 71% 27% 4% -
20 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
21 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
22 SHI Jeremy 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
23 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
24 WU Richard 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
25 GUAN Dennis 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
26 BALLOU Johnathan 100% 92% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
27 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
28 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
29 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
30 DECK Tyson 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
31 CHEN Samuel 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
32 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 37% 5% - - -
33 FANG Eason 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
34 SUN Bill 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
35 STORER Julian 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
36 ZHAO ERIC 100% 93% 53% 14% 2% -
37 EMILIANI Andres 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
38 CONTRERAS Ismael 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
39 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.