Patten Gymnasium, Northwestern University - Evanston, IL, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ZMYSLOWSKI Maciek A. | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 2 | MCKEEVER Luca | V D V D V | V V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 3 | ZHU Zimo | D V V V D | V V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 3 | FRANK Timmy | V V D V V | V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 5 | NIKOLOV Peter | V V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 6 | KARNAS Karol | D V V D V | V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 7 | GUINAN Joseph | V D V V D | V V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 8 | SPINA Joseph B. | D V D D V | V V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 9 | KOZAKIEWICZ Filip | V V V V V V | D | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| 10 | O'DONNELL Benjamin | V D V V V | D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 11 | NGUYEN Tate | D V V V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 12 | REINER Julius J. | D V V V D V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 13 | ELTERMAN Lev | V V D D V V | V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 14 | SILVERS Ari | V D V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 15 | JOVANOVIC Jovan | V D V V D D | V D | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| 16 | SERAFYM Damian | V D D D D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 17 | TIKHOMIROV Theodore | D D V V V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 18 | ROBINSON Matthew | V V D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 19 | KRAJ Pawel | D D D D V V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 20 | ALI Adam | D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 21 | ALI Geoffrey A. | D V D D D D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 | |
| 22 | TIERNEY Luke | D D D V D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 23 | SONN Rohan | D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 24 | DUNLOP Richard (Dick) M. | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 25 | CASTELLANOS Rene E. | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.