Arnold Mercado Classic 2022

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 10:00 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCMANUS Farran - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
2 BOYCE Samuel H. - 11% 35% 39% 15%
3 NORBUTAS Jackson - - - 6% 34% 60%
3 PHUKAN Rohin 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
5 VACA Ricky - 5% 24% 44% 26%
6 FOWLER James - - - 7% 41% 51%
7 VENET Téva 1% 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
8 THORNE Casey - - 3% 20% 53% 24%
9 KRAVETZ Benjamin 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
10 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin - 2% 18% 53% 28%
11 PACK Tanner - 1% 9% 41% 40% 9%
12 GARDEA Adam 13% 41% 37% 9% 1%
13 EVERS Gabriel 6% 28% 41% 22% 3% -
14 FESTIN Michael 30% 48% 19% 2% -
15 CHOI San 12% 42% 36% 10% 1% -
16 THOGERSEN Eric - 8% 31% 41% 18% 1%
17 SAUCEDO Fernando 2% 17% 40% 32% 8% 1%
18 CUEVAS Tom 25% 44% 26% 5% -
19 SAUCEDO Grecia 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
20 SYPES Michael 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
21 HERRON Jonathan 25% 56% 19% 1% - -
22 WALLIS Wyatt 18% 40% 31% 10% 1%
23 CREEKMUR Caelan L. 2% 16% 39% 34% 9%
24 LIPPMAN Elzy 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2%
25 LAURSEN Logan 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
27 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily 31% 47% 20% 3% - -
28 WELLING Cohen 3% 19% 42% 32% 5% -
29 ZIMMERMAN Jennifer 14% 39% 36% 11% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.