Event Results
Arnold Mercado Classic 2022Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCMANUS Farran | V D V D D | V V V V V | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 2 | BOYCE Samuel H. | V V D D | V V V V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 3 | NORBUTAS Jackson | V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | PHUKAN Rohin | V V V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 5 | VACA Ricky | V V V D | V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 6 | FOWLER James | D V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 7 | VENET Téva | V V D V V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 8 | THORNE Casey | V D V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 9 | KRAVETZ Benjamin | V V V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 10 | PERKINS-OLLILA Justin | D V V V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 11 | PACK Tanner | V V V D V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 12 | GARDEA Adam | V V D V | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 13 | EVERS Gabriel | V V V D V | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 14 | FESTIN Michael | D D V V | V D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 15 | CHOI San | D D D V V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 16 | THOGERSEN Eric | D V D V D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 17 | SAUCEDO Fernando | V V D D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 18 | CUEVAS Tom | D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 19 | SAUCEDO Grecia | V D D D V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 20 | SYPES Michael | D D D V V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 21 | HERRON Jonathan | D D V V D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 22 | WALLIS Wyatt | D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 23 | CREEKMUR Caelan L. | V D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 24 | LIPPMAN Elzy | D V D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 25 | LAURSEN Logan | D D V D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 26 | HOUSEHOLDER Kyle Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 27 | PERKINS-OLLILA Emily | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 28 | WELLING Cohen | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 29 | ZIMMERMAN Jennifer | D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |