Arnold Mercado Classic 2022

Div II Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RADY-PENTEK Charles 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
2 HICHA Paul R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
3 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
3 REBELLO Derek 100% 100% 99% 90% 46%
5 KAUFMAN Josh B. 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
6 LABRECQUE Savannah 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
7 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 6% -
8 FREY Sarah 100% 99% 89% 55% 13% -
9 GIL Ricardo 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
10 THORNE Casey 100% 94% 52% 11% 1%
11 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 100% 97% 75% 27% 4% -
12 JOHNSON Kai 100% 73% 25% 3% -
13 CHAPMAN Connor 100% 100% 100% 92% 62% 20%
14 ENRIGHT Isaac 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20% 2%
15 LYMAN Lily 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
16 WEINBERG Nicanor 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
17 WILSON Eva 100% 93% 56% 19% 3% - -
18 THRASHER Ted 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
19 HETTIWATTE Yehansa 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
20 SPIELVOGEL Lauren 100% 92% 58% 17% 2% -
21 KIM Tae 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
22 QIN Ningnie 100% 88% 42% 6% -
24 VELASCO Manuela L. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
26 CHERUVU Niyati 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.