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Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FESTA Carina - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
2 BOYNTON Ainsley 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
3 DHAR Layla 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
3 CAO Sophie 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
5 HENRY Soraya S. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
6 SHI Cathleen - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
7 FLATT Sophia - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
8 XIE Nora 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% - -
9 ZHAO Emily W. - 1% 8% 30% 41% 19%
10 CANSECO Carly - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
11 FAN Grace - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
12 CARTER Keely 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
13 SCOTT Eve - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
14 YOUNG Audrey 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
15 COLBY Mercer 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
16 XU Emily T. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
17 WUNNAVA Ellora 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
18 BERNARD Kathryn 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
19 WEI JoyAnn 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
20 REN Xinling - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6%
21 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
22 TA-ZHOU Emma 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
23 BARROSO Isabela 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
24 WUNNAVA Elina 8% 27% 35% 23% 7% 1%
25 LEE Tammy 28% 43% 23% 5% - -
26 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 24% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.