Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
3 DHAR Layla 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
3 CAO Sophie 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
5 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
6 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
7 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
8 XIE Nora 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
9 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
10 CANSECO Carly 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
11 FAN Grace 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
12 CARTER Keely 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
13 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
14 YOUNG Audrey 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
15 COLBY Mercer 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
16 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
17 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
18 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
19 WEI JoyAnn 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
20 REN Xinling 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
21 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
22 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
23 BARROSO Isabela 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
24 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
25 LEE Tammy 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
26 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.