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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2022 Foothills Fall Fight

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 17, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Simpsonville Activity Center - Simpsonville, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TIKHONOV Ilia - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
2 SAKO Ayrton (A.J.) - 2% 14% 40% 35% 9%
3 BIRT David (Dave) L. - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
3 LE Kevin 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
5 RICKMAN Ian - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
6 TWEMLOW Sacha 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
7 BUI Henry - 4% 22% 47% 26% 1%
8 MILLER Jonathan (Jack) 4% 25% 43% 23% 5% -
9 CAMPBELL Joseph - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
10 MCKINLEY Manley J. 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
11 KELLY Michael G. - - 3% 25% 48% 24%
12 ARNOLD Benjamin 1% 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
13 DECKER Carlton 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
14 SNYDER Ari - 1% 11% 43% 42% 3%
15 PAYNE John T. - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
16 LIU Dylan 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
17 MAI Ryan 4% 45% 41% 9% 1% -
18 COLLIER Baiden C. - 4% 25% 45% 22% 3%
19 WILKENS Patricia A. 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
20 NELSON Cole 14% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
21 SHELLABARGER Stephen - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
22 CATES Georgia 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
23 GEISSLER Maximilian 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
24 RIGGINS Joshua 1% 8% 25% 37% 25% 5%
25 CUNNINGHAM Rowan 18% 39% 31% 10% 2% -
26 LY Gabriel - 4% 22% 39% 28% 6%
27 COTTEN Justin 6% 41% 40% 12% 1% -
28 SIGALAS noah 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
29 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
30 ARZT Nicky 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
31 HERRICK Kerry K. 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% -
32 HOLMES Sullivan 2% 16% 43% 31% 8% 1%
33 GUTHRIE Jennifer 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
34 CAULDER Morgan 14% 45% 32% 8% 1% -
35 VON CLEF Claire 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
36 MCKINLEY Griffin 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.