2022 Foothills Fall Fight

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 17, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Simpsonville Activity Center - Simpsonville, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TIKHONOV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
2 SAKO Ayrton (A.J.) 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 9%
3 BIRT David (Dave) L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
3 LE Kevin 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
5 RICKMAN Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
6 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
7 BUI Henry 100% 100% 96% 74% 27% 1%
8 MILLER Jonathan (Jack) 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
9 CAMPBELL Joseph 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
10 MCKINLEY Manley J. 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
11 KELLY Michael G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 24%
12 ARNOLD Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
13 DECKER Carlton 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
14 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 99% 88% 45% 3%
15 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
16 LIU Dylan 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
17 MAI Ryan 100% 96% 51% 9% 1% -
18 COLLIER Baiden C. 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 3%
19 WILKENS Patricia A. 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
20 NELSON Cole 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
21 SHELLABARGER Stephen 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
22 CATES Georgia 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
23 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
24 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
25 CUNNINGHAM Rowan 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
26 LY Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
27 COTTEN Justin 100% 94% 53% 14% 1% -
28 SIGALAS noah 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
29 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
30 ARZT Nicky 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
31 HERRICK Kerry K. 100% 85% 46% 13% 1% -
32 HOLMES Sullivan 100% 98% 83% 39% 8% 1%
33 GUTHRIE Jennifer 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
34 CAULDER Morgan 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% -
35 VON CLEF Claire 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
36 MCKINLEY Griffin 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.