DCFC Champagne Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
2 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 11%
3 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 59% 9%
5 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
5 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
7 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
8 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
9 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
10 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
11 BROWN Joshua (Josh) A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
12 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
13 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
14 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 10% 1%
15 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% 1%
16 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
17 DUAN Eric 100% 98% 81% 40% 7% -
18 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 30%
19 WRIGHT Ezra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
20 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% 1% -
21 ZHANG Caden 100% 97% 69% 14% 1% -
22 SINGH Aryaman 100% 98% 82% 44% 9% -
23 CHEN Brian 100% 95% 66% 24% 3% -
24 SINGH Ravin 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
25 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 21%
26 MILLSON Daniel 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
27 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 99% 92% 62% 18% 2%
28 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 99% 91% 59% 20% 2%
29 LEE Aiden 100% 83% 36% 7% 1% -
30 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
31 COLLEY Joshua 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
32 SO Lorenzo 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
33 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
34 FOREST Sung 100% 90% 50% 13% 1% -
35 HARDY Tristan L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 37% 3%
36 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 8%
37 DAN Rex 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
38 KANG Eunwoo 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
39 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 91% 54% 15% 2% - -
40 MEGGERS Davin 100% 90% 50% 13% 1% - -
41 LAM Alan 100% 89% 34% 3% - -
42 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
43 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 96% 69% 24% 3% -
43 ALI Farhan 100% 65% 19% 2% - -
45 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 99% 88% 50% 12% 1%
46 MAGALSKI Mary 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
47 BLACK Ethan 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
48 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
49 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
50 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
51 SIEDOW William 100% 29% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.