Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 8:30 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHOU Catherine 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 10%
2 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
3 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
3 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 RECKLING Kathleen A. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 4%
6 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
7 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 8%
8 MI Anning 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
9 MAO Rebecca J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
10 PARK Caitlyn 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
11 FU Qihan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
12 WANG Alison 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
13 UNGERER Frieda 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
14 NEWMAN Ariel 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
15 ZHAO Sherry 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
16 CHEN Jasmine 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4%
17 GANDLURI Sreehitha 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
18 MEYER Claudia 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
19 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
20 ROHRING Anna 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% -
21 GAO Zhuning 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
22 PARK Jacqueline 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
23 FULIGNI Isabella 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
24 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
25 SA Milla 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
26 WANG Yudi 100% 100% 81% 43% 12% 1%
27 PUOPOLO Mia 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
28 RICHARDS Ella 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18% 2%
29 LAWRENCE Nia 100% 83% 39% 10% 1% - -
30 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
31 WEED Addison 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
32 CHENG Isa 100% 51% 8% - - - -
33 JOHNSON Maya 100% 96% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
34 RYDMAN Grace 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
35 WANG Siqi 100% 88% 44% 11% 1% -
36 SHAW Guinevere L. 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
37 ANDERSON Shannon 100% 99% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
38 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
39 ISAAC Nazariah 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
40 MORIN Charlotte 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
41 KYIJONG Tenzin 100% 71% 17% 2% - - -
42 FRIEND Sophie 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
43 FULLER Maybel 100% 38% 5% - - -
44 SHEAHAN Brianna 100% 73% 28% 6% 1% - -
45 SEIFERT Madison 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% -
46 HAQUE Isabela 100% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.