October NAC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 8, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
2 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
3 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
5 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
6 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
7 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
8 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 18%
9 AI Amy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
11 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
12 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
13 KUMAR Anusha 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
14 LEE Olivia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
15 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
16 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
17 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
18 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
19 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
20 SYKES Elynor 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
21 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
22 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
23 KUMAR Eva 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
24 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
25 JAKEL Alysa C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
26 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
27 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
28 HUANG Lanlan 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 6%
29 NIX Reagan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
30 WALLER DEL VALLE Alanis 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
31 ZHAN Nancy 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
32 WALTER Anna 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
33 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
34 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
35 MALLAVARPU saanvi 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
36 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
37 WANG Victoria 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
37 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 2%
39 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
40 NGUYEN Ashley L. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
41 QIAN Irene 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
41 SUN Hanya 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
43 WANG Angelina 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
44 LEE Yeriel 100% 89% 48% 13% 2% - -
45 PHUKAN Indra 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
46 MENDOZA zoie 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
47 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
48 SOBUS Yanka 100% 99% 85% 48% 16% 2% -
49 SUN Zeyu 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
50 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
51 LEE Claire 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
52 ZHU Serene M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
52 DOUGLAS Marketa F. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
54 READ Lyla 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
55 LEE Camilla 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
56 NGUYEN Ella 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
57 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
58 LIN Ariel 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
59 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
60 SHEN Yongen 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
61 BO GENESIS 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
62 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
63 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
64 MEYER Rachel 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
65 GUAN Isabella 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
66 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
67 BHATT Anisha 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
68 DONG Ava 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
69 IYER Ishana 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
70 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
71 TANG RUIRUI 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
72 VICKERMAN Aspen 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
73 XU Celina 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
74 SMOTRITSKY Liat 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
75 CHUNG Penelope 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
76 BLANCO Ariia 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
77 SCHMITT Harper 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% - -
78 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
79 WONG Caitlin 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
80 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 69% 21% 2% - - -
81 LIANG Jingjing 100% 95% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
82 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
83 LY Hannah 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
84 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
85 LI Azalea 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
86 MEYER Rebecca 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
87 FENG Iris 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
88 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
89 PAN Angela 100% 96% 71% 26% 4% - -
90 CHENG Katherine 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
91 VARAN Kateryna 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
92 PANG Ashley 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
93 DESAI Ela 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
93 KANE Chloe 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
95 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
96 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
97 STERN Savannah 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
98 JAMES Ashley 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
98 CHANG chaehee 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
100 CHADDA Farah 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
101 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
102 FREEMAN Kate 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
102 ZOU You yang 100% 33% 5% - - - -
102 PYE Emily 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
105 DAVIS Violet 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.