Event Results
W&M Halloween Open 2022Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | YAP Nathan | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 2 | HSIEH Rebecca | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| 3 | SEMP Iain | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 3 | HSIEH Sabrina | V V V V V D | V V V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 5 | PRICE Owen | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 6 | CARTER Austin L. | V D V V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 7 | MOREY Zachary D. | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 8 | EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. | V V D V D V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 9 | HAYES Nathan P. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 10 | LE Tan | V V V V V D | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 11 | SEMP Brannon A. | D V V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 12 | REEDER Nicholas W. | V V D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 13 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | V V V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 14 | ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman | V V V V D D | V D | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| 14 | SHANKS Aidan T. | V V D D V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 16 | EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. | D V V D V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 17 | MAHNKEN Thomas P. | V D V D V V | D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 18 | FORMY DUVAL Christopher | D V V V D V | D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 19 | MAGGY Melanie D. | V D V V V D | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 20 | NSUBUGA Jeffrey | V D V V V D | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 21 | KOKE Matthew | V D V D V D | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 22 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | D V D D V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 23 | PRATHER Frank | D V D V V D | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 24 | HARPER Wesley | D D D V V D | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 25 | HERRIES Elsa | D D V D D V | V D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 26 | ROUNTREE Andrew | D D D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 27 | TOLENTINO SR. Francis | V D D V D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 28 | CHERRY Samuel | D V D D V D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 29 | PAQUETTE Emily | V V D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 30 | KASPER Lucia | D D D D D V | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 31 | PISTONE Leah | D D V D D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 32 | BARBER Christopher | D V D D D D | V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 33 | HOCHSTETTER Robert | D D D V D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 34 | SHANKS Jennifer | D D D V D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 35 | KOKE Kristen | V D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 36 | ALLEN Lily | D D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 37 | KANE Rachel | D D D D D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 38 | GIBSON Karino | D D D V D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 39 | BRUFFEY Thomas | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 40 | CASTILLO Natalie | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 41 | POOLE Katherine | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 42 | MALIK Zeerick | D D D D D D | D | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |