William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | YAP Nathan | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 2 | HSIEH Rebecca | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| 3 | SEMP Iain | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 3 | HSIEH Sabrina | V V V V V D | V V V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 5 | PRICE Owen | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 6 | CARTER Austin L. | V D V V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 7 | MOREY Zachary D. | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 8 | EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. | V V D V D V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 9 | HAYES Nathan P. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 10 | LE Tan | V V V V V D | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 11 | SEMP Brannon A. | D V V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 12 | REEDER Nicholas W. | V V D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 13 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | V V V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 14 | ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman | V V V V D D | V D | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| 14 | SHANKS Aidan T. | V V D D V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 16 | EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. | D V V D V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 17 | MAHNKEN Thomas P. | V D V D V V | D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 18 | FORMY DUVAL Christopher | D V V V D V | D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 19 | MAGGY Melanie D. | V D V V V D | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 20 | NSUBUGA Jeffrey | V D V V V D | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 21 | KOKE Matthew | V D V D V D | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 22 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | D V D D V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 23 | PRATHER Frank | D V D V V D | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 24 | HARPER Wesley | D D D V V D | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 25 | HERRIES Elsa | D D V D D V | V D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 26 | ROUNTREE Andrew | D D D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 27 | TOLENTINO SR. Francis | V D D V D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 28 | CHERRY Samuel | D V D D V D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 29 | PAQUETTE Emily | V V D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 30 | KASPER Lucia | D D D D D V | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 31 | PISTONE Leah | D D V D D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 32 | BARBER Christopher | D V D D D D | V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 33 | HOCHSTETTER Robert | D D D V D V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 34 | SHANKS Jennifer | D D D V D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 35 | KOKE Kristen | V D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 36 | ALLEN Lily | D D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 37 | KANE Rachel | D D D D D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 38 | GIBSON Karino | D D D V D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 39 | BRUFFEY Thomas | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 40 | CASTILLO Natalie | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 41 | POOLE Katherine | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 42 | MALIK Zeerick | D D D D D D | D | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.