W&M Halloween Open 2022

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 23, 2022 at 12:30 PM

William & Mary Bee McLeod Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAP Nathan - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
2 HSIEH Rebecca - - 4% 25% 41% 24% 5%
3 SEMP Iain - - - 8% 31% 42% 19%
3 HSIEH Sabrina 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
5 PRICE Owen - - 3% 19% 42% 31% 6%
6 CARTER Austin L. - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
7 MOREY Zachary D. - - 4% 17% 38% 32% 9%
8 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. - - 1% 8% 37% 43% 11%
9 HAYES Nathan P. - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
10 LE Tan - - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
11 SEMP Brannon A. - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
12 REEDER Nicholas W. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
13 MAHNKEN Thomas G. - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2%
14 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
14 SHANKS Aidan T. - - 2% 15% 38% 35% 10%
16 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
17 MAHNKEN Thomas P. - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
18 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 6%
19 MAGGY Melanie D. - 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
20 NSUBUGA Jeffrey - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
21 KOKE Matthew - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
22 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 5% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
23 PRATHER Frank - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
24 HARPER Wesley - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
25 HERRIES Elsa 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
26 ROUNTREE Andrew 1% 13% 42% 34% 9% 1% -
27 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
28 CHERRY Samuel 24% 49% 23% 4% - - -
29 PAQUETTE Emily 3% 36% 42% 16% 2% - -
30 KASPER Lucia 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
31 PISTONE Leah 5% 40% 41% 13% 1% - -
32 BARBER Christopher - 4% 21% 42% 29% 3% -
33 HOCHSTETTER Robert 12% 39% 36% 12% 1% - -
34 SHANKS Jennifer 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
35 KOKE Kristen 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
36 ALLEN Lily 8% 41% 37% 12% 2% - -
37 KANE Rachel 36% 42% 19% 4% - - -
38 GIBSON Karino 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
39 BRUFFEY Thomas 12% 51% 30% 6% 1% - -
40 CASTILLO Natalie 12% 45% 40% 3% - - -
41 POOLE Katherine 30% 48% 20% 3% - - -
42 MALIK Zeerick 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.