BladeRunner ROC/RJC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, October 30, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUNES Klod 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
2 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 7%
3 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 XIAO Edward 100% 100% 100% 92% 56% 14%
5 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 33%
6 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
7 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
8 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
9 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
10 NAYGAS Lawrence I. 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 9%
11 GODZHIK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
12 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
13 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 22% 2%
14 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 48%
15 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
16 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
17 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
18 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 9%
19 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
20 FIECHTNER Thomas A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 54% 12%
21 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
21 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
23 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
24 REYES Omar 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
25 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 96% 68% 25% 3% -
26 WANG Ethan 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
27 OH Jaden 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
28 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 10%
29 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
30 FINLEY Dylan 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
31 VAZQUEZ Zander 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
32 TULYAG Azim 100% 81% 36% 5% - - -
33 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 73% 31% 7% -
34 LLIDO Soren 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
35 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
36 PARK Brandon 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
37 MUSHER Benjamin J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
38 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 100% 96% 72% 29% 3% -
39 MYERS Dean 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
40 CAJERO Luis O. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
41 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 98% 84% 46% 9% -
42 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% -
43 PARK Sky 100% 83% 34% 5% - -
44 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 95% 61% 20% 3% -
45 YU Anders 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
46 CHAN Connor 100% 32% 4% - - -
47 WU Lucas 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1% -
48 KIM Derek A. 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 10% -
49 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
50 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% -
51 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 100% 96% 71% 27% 3% -
52 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 99% 81% 41% 10% 1%
53 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 68% 16% 2% - - -
54 BAEK David 100% 94% 61% 16% 2% -
55 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
56 RENTERIA Emiliano 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% -
57 MEDVIDOVIC Pavle 100% 94% 67% 25% 3% -
58 LI Matthew 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
59 LAM Nicolas 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
60 PINCHENG Yao 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
61 BORG Matthew 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
62 SMITH Grant D. 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% - -
63 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% -
64 KIM Aiden 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% - -
65 PARK Ryan 100% 69% 27% 5% - - -
66 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 56% 6% - - - -
67 COOK Ryan 100% 84% 43% 9% 1% - -
68 GUO Hairuo 100% 53% 11% 1% - -
69 CHOY Benedict W. 100% 55% 5% - - - -
70 REICHEL Ezra 100% 75% 28% 3% - - -
71 CHOURASIA Ashirvad 100% 56% 10% 1% - - -
72 MARTIN III Elmer Dean 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.