AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, November 4, 2022 at 3:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
2 CO Dylan - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
3 DETERING Julian - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 SISINNI Riccardo - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
5 LUH Ethan K. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
6 CORTRIGHT Skipper - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
7 KIM Ryan Y. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
8 LI Matthew - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
9 MYERS Dean - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
10 WU Alistair - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
11 DINSAY Kristjan A. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
12 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. - - 2% 15% 39% 35% 9%
13 DERRICK Blake - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
14 LIPPMAN Sam 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
15 MA Andrew - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
16 NG Kenneth 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
17 HOBSON Aaron K. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
18 NGUYEN Liam - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% 1%
19 WYMAN Julian - - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
20 FINNEY Lorenz - 1% 8% 36% 39% 15% 2%
21 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4%
22 WANG Ethan - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 4%
23 SEAL Maximus R. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
24 LING Eddie 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
25 KIM Daniel Y. 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
26 YEE Johnathan - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
27 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 1% 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
28 SETLUR Bhrugu 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
29 LO Preston 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
30 WU Lucas - 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
31 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
32 LAM Nicolas 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
33 TSAY Jeremy M. - - - 3% 19% 48% 29%
33 NGUYEN Martin - 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
35 ANDERSON Jacob - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
36 BAEK David - 2% 12% 31% 36% 18% 3%
37 ZHANG Aaron - - 2% 19% 41% 31% 7%
38 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
39 RUBIN Max 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
40 PARK Rion 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
41 REICHEL Ezra 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
42 PARK Sky 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
43 GONZALEZ Matthew - 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
44 CRACRAFT John R. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
45 SHEN Owen - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
46 HARRIS Otto - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
47 PARK Ryan 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
48 TKACHUK Daniel 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
49 AGRAWAL Niki 8% 34% 38% 16% 3% - -
50 PONS Diego 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
51 TUAN Evan 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
52 AIKEN Nicholas A. 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
53 NGAI Julian 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% -
54 RASMUSSEN Sage 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
55 TULYAG Azim 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
56 GORDON William L. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
57 SMITH Grant D. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
58 BAE Eugene 12% 54% 29% 4% - - -
59 LI Jett 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
60 YU Leo 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
61 PINCHENG Yao 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
62 WONG Evan 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
63 BOUCHARD Kai 1% 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
64 EDISON Ansel 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
65 SAH Steven 2% 23% 52% 20% 3% - -
66 KALAMAS Nikolas 44% 42% 12% 2% - - -
67 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
68 ORNELAS Matteo 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
69 NISHIHIRA Tyler 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
70 LIU William 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
70 PETERSON Lucas 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
72 BECKER Ethan 94% 6% - - - - -
73 ZHANG Graham 16% 44% 29% 9% 1% - -
74 LIANG Ethan 70% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.