AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, November 4, 2022 at 3:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
3 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
5 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
6 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
7 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
8 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
9 MYERS Dean 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
10 WU Alistair 100% 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
11 DINSAY Kristjan A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
12 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
13 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
14 LIPPMAN Sam 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
15 MA Andrew 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
16 NG Kenneth 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
17 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
18 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12% 1%
19 WYMAN Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
20 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 17% 2%
21 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
22 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
23 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
24 LING Eddie 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
25 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
26 YEE Johnathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
27 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1%
28 SETLUR Bhrugu 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4% -
29 LO Preston 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
30 WU Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
31 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
32 LAM Nicolas 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
33 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
33 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
35 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
36 BAEK David 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
37 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 7%
38 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
39 RUBIN Max 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
40 PARK Rion 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
41 REICHEL Ezra 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
42 PARK Sky 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
43 GONZALEZ Matthew 100% 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
44 CRACRAFT John R. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
45 SHEN Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
46 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
47 PARK Ryan 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
48 TKACHUK Daniel 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
49 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% - -
50 PONS Diego 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
51 TUAN Evan 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
52 AIKEN Nicholas A. 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1%
53 NGAI Julian 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
54 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
55 TULYAG Azim 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
56 GORDON William L. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
57 SMITH Grant D. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
58 BAE Eugene 100% 88% 34% 4% - - -
59 LI Jett 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
60 YU Leo 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
61 PINCHENG Yao 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
62 WONG Evan 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
63 BOUCHARD Kai 100% 99% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
64 EDISON Ansel 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1% -
65 SAH Steven 100% 98% 75% 23% 3% - -
66 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
67 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
68 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
69 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
70 LIU William 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
70 PETERSON Lucas 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
72 BECKER Ethan 100% 6% - - - - -
73 ZHANG Graham 100% 84% 39% 10% 1% - -
74 LIANG Ethan 100% 30% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.