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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas - - - - 1% 22% 77%
2 GONG Jerry - - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
3 SAGE Sebastian - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
3 LIU Kevin - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
5 MEYERSON Jacob - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
6 ATWOOD Griffin - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 12%
7 LIN Philip T. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
8 LIN Maxim - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
9 BRANDT Jaden - - - 3% 20% 51% 26%
10 LAUB William - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
11 CHUNG Connor - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 10%
12 SHINCHUK Daniel - - - 5% 22% 46% 27%
13 CLARK Aram - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
14 PEREIRA Beckham - 4% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
15 WAXLER Ryan - 1% 4% 18% 36% 33% 8%
16 KUMAR Arjun - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
17 MATTOO Deven 2% 16% 37% 34% 11% 1% -
18 MIR Alexander 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
19 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
20 LEE Griffin - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
21 BECKWITH Charlies - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
22 TAN Vick - - 2% 12% 36% 42% 8%
23 ZHAO Royce 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
24 TAYCHER Aaron - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
25 TSAO Oliver 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
26 BADUSHOV Anton - - - 2% 16% 47% 34%
27 WEISS Toby 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
28 PANNOZZO Luca 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
29 ALMEDA Stanislav 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
30 TUNIK Joshuah 11% 35% 34% 16% 4% - -
31 PRIEUR Christian F. - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
31 SARWAHI Viraat 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
33 LIU Ryan - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
34 GORDON Samuel 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
35 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
36 SHAH Sohan 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
37 LIU Alexander 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
38 HAFEZ Alexander - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
39 CAREY Sam 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
40 ZHANG Ray 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
41 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
42 EPLETT Nicholas 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
43 KENNEDY Tomás - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
43 OLOUGHLIN Quin 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
45 LIN Justin 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
46 TSAO Alister 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
47 SHAPIRO Simon 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
47 MAGITSKY Isaac 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
47 FRISBEE John - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
50 MILLET Etienne 19% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
51 ZHANG Joseph 1% 7% 30% 40% 20% 3% -
52 SAYAR Luke 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
53 LAMTAN Christoffer 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
54 MADHAVAN Arjun 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
55 DEELY Hartigan 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
56 WELSTEAD Nicholas 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
57 GIMBRERE Alexandre - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
58 FIROOZI Sam 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
59 ARMSTRONG Nathaniel 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
60 ANSARI Umayr 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
61 SONG Nicholas 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
61 SHEYNZON Benjamin 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
63 LIEBOWITZ Carson 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
64 SHINCHUK Jacob 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
65 ENGERRAN Michael - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
66 ELLINOR Cameron 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
67 BHERWANI Ishaan 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
67 FRANCO James 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
69 GAVILANES Mayson 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.