Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 77%
2 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
3 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
3 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
5 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
6 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
7 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
8 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
9 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 26%
10 LAUB William 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
11 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
12 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
13 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
14 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
15 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 8%
16 KUMAR Arjun 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
17 MATTOO Deven 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1% -
18 MIR Alexander 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
19 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
20 LEE Griffin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
21 BECKWITH Charlies 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
22 TAN Vick 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 8%
23 ZHAO Royce 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
24 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 9% 1%
25 TSAO Oliver 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
26 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 34%
27 WEISS Toby 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
28 PANNOZZO Luca 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
29 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
30 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
31 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
31 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
33 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
34 GORDON Samuel 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3% -
35 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
36 SHAH Sohan 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
37 LIU Alexander 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
38 HAFEZ Alexander 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
39 CAREY Sam 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
40 ZHANG Ray 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
41 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
42 EPLETT Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3% -
43 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
43 OLOUGHLIN Quin 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
45 LIN Justin 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
46 TSAO Alister 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
47 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
47 MAGITSKY Isaac 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
47 FRISBEE John 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
50 MILLET Etienne 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
51 ZHANG Joseph 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3% -
52 SAYAR Luke 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
53 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
54 MADHAVAN Arjun 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
55 DEELY Hartigan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
56 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
57 GIMBRERE Alexandre 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 4%
58 FIROOZI Sam 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
59 ARMSTRONG Nathaniel 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
60 ANSARI Umayr 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
61 SONG Nicholas 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
61 SHEYNZON Benjamin 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
63 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
64 SHINCHUK Jacob 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
65 ENGERRAN Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
66 ELLINOR Cameron 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
67 BHERWANI Ishaan 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
67 FRANCO James 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
69 GAVILANES Mayson 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.