Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 6, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIA Dashan - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
2 LIU Adam - - - 1% 8% 40% 52%
3 SINGLETON Aman - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
3 VYSOTSKIY Evan - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
5 NORMILE Nicholas 1% 10% 33% 40% 15% 2%
6 SHCHUR Grayson - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
7 DODIN Daniel M. - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
8 SONG Aidan - 4% 21% 41% 28% 5%
9 FENG shang - - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
10 HANNA Alexander - 5% 24% 42% 24% 4% -
11 LI Jade - 5% 26% 45% 20% 3% -
12 TESFAYE Elias 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2%
13 WANG-SONG Evan - 2% 15% 38% 36% 9%
14 HELMY Richard - 2% 12% 34% 37% 15%
15 LEE Harrison - - - 5% 25% 50% 19%
16 CAFASSO Alexander 3% 26% 42% 24% 5% -
17 WELCH Sebastian 15% 41% 34% 9% 1% - -
18 LEE Nicholas 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
19 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
20 AHMED Mohsen 4% 25% 43% 23% 5% - -
21 WU Matthew - 1% 11% 34% 40% 13% 1%
22 SAVATH Quentin - - 4% 22% 47% 25% 3%
23 ZHANG Shuhao 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
24 RICHARDSON Matthew 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
25 CHEN Daniel 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
26 MASSE Dean 64% 30% 5% - - -
27 HALL Noah 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
28 OCONNOR Paul < 1% 5% 47% 37% 10% 1%
29 YOON Jonathan 19% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
30 MCGANN Grant 28% 47% 21% 4% - -
31 JIN Derek 30% 46% 21% 3% - -
32 SANTANA Sebastian 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.