AFM Div1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Sunnyvale, CA - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Justin - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 SOHN Christopher - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
3 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 VICEO Jaime - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
5 LA ROSA Federico - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
6 CHOI Ethan L. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
7 SHIH William - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
8 ZILINSKIY Eduard 27% 44% 23% 5% < 1% -
9 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
10 CATLIN Adam - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
11 ZENG Lucas H. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
12 BERMENDER Cameron - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
13 LAO Scott E. - - 7% 29% 41% 20% 1%
14 YANG Andy H. - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
15 BANERJEE ANUP - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
16 KIM Ian M. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
17 SCHLESINGER Nathan - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
18 CHIN Jason Y. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
19 GRANT Lachlan K. - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 18%
20 ZHENG Alan H. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
21 TSAY Jeremy M. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 3%
22 SPEVAK Alexander - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
23 FUNK Theo S. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
24 WU Conrad J. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
25 CHOI Samuel 1% 10% 37% 35% 14% 3% -
26 XIAO EDWARD - 2% 17% 40% 32% 9% -
27 DESAI Nalin H. - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
27 DAVIS Christopher M. - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
29 DANKAR Neel - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
30 OTAKE Jared K. - 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
31 LI Raphael C. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
32 KIM Aaron J. - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
33 TSANG Matthew K. - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
34 MAO Connor 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
35 PHAM-CHANG Duke A. 2% 24% 44% 24% 5% 1% -
36 ZENG Michael L. - 2% 14% 40% 34% 10% 1%
37 CHIN Julian S. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
38 JEON Caleb A. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 5%
39 DARIANO Noah G. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
40 SOOD Kishan S. 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
41 LIM Ari - 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5%
42 NG Eben S. - 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
43 HUANG Bernard 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
44 PATINO Yahir 15% 39% 31% 12% 2% - -
45 WANG Andrew 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
46 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
47 HSIUNG Richie 1% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
48 SHERMAN Marco J. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
49 LIN Dashiell - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
50 KUMBLA Samarth - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
51 SWEENEY Quinn 8% 44% 36% 11% 1% - -
52 ZHANG Luke T. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
53 OH Samuel H. - - 6% 27% 41% 22% 3%
54 WESTELIUS Isak R. 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
55 SUNG Chang-Han S. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
56 MURUHIN Yaroslav - 4% 28% 41% 22% 4% -
57 UZGIRIS Kovas 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
58 LAI Christopher W. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
59 SCHUR Skyler 14% 47% 31% 7% 1% -
60 WONG NICHOLAS A. 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
60 LEE Jesse 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
62 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
63 ESTELL Oscar M. 1% 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
64 MURATA Akitoshi D. 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
65 TANG Adrian 70% 26% 4% - - - -
66 BAEK David 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
67 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
68 STIAGUN Nikita 10% 41% 35% 12% 2% - -
69 ELLIS Preston Y. 60% 35% 5% - - - -
70 BHATT Jay 4% 32% 40% 19% 4% - -
71 MCCOSH Evin M. 20% 51% 24% 5% - - -
72 LIN Richard 72% 25% 2% - - - -
73 LIM Charles Q. 37% 44% 16% 3% - - -
74 DETERING Julian 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
75 WONG Louis 72% 25% 3% - - - -
76 JAGANI Shaan A. 16% 50% 29% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.