AFM Div1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Sunnyvale, CA - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 SOHN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
3 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 VICEO Jaime 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
5 LA ROSA Federico 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23%
6 CHOI Ethan L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
7 SHIH William 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
8 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 73% 28% 5% < 1% -
9 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
10 CATLIN Adam 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
11 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
12 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
13 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 22% 1%
14 YANG Andy H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
15 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
16 KIM Ian M. 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1%
17 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
18 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
19 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
20 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
21 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
22 SPEVAK Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 20%
23 FUNK Theo S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
24 WU Conrad J. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
25 CHOI Samuel 100% 99% 89% 52% 17% 3% -
26 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% -
27 DESAI Nalin H. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
27 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% -
29 DANKAR Neel 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
30 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
31 LI Raphael C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
32 KIM Aaron J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
33 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
34 MAO Connor 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
35 PHAM-CHANG Duke A. 100% 98% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
36 ZENG Michael L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 11% 1%
37 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
38 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
39 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
40 SOOD Kishan S. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
41 LIM Ari 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
42 NG Eben S. 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
43 HUANG Bernard 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
44 PATINO Yahir 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
45 WANG Andrew 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
46 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
47 HSIUNG Richie 100% 99% 84% 49% 18% 3% -
48 SHERMAN Marco J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
49 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
50 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
51 SWEENEY Quinn 100% 92% 48% 12% 1% - -
52 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
53 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 3%
54 WESTELIUS Isak R. 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
55 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
56 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 96% 68% 27% 4% -
57 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
58 LAI Christopher W. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
59 SCHUR Skyler 100% 86% 39% 8% 1% -
60 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
60 LEE Jesse 100% 51% 12% 2% - - -
62 CORTRIGHT Joshua C. 100% 90% 53% 18% 3% - -
63 ESTELL Oscar M. 100% 99% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
64 MURATA Akitoshi D. 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
65 TANG Adrian 100% 30% 4% - - - -
66 BAEK David 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
67 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
68 STIAGUN Nikita 100% 90% 49% 14% 2% - -
69 ELLIS Preston Y. 100% 40% 5% - - - -
70 BHATT Jay 100% 96% 63% 23% 4% - -
71 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 80% 29% 5% - - -
72 LIN Richard 100% 28% 2% - - - -
73 LIM Charles Q. 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
74 DETERING Julian 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
75 WONG Louis 100% 28% 3% - - - -
76 JAGANI Shaan A. 100% 84% 33% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.