Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC Foil and Epee only

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 OH SEAN - 4% 22% 44% 29%
2 TANG Albert 5% 26% 41% 24% 4%
3 WONG Garrick G. - - 5% 27% 44% 23%
3 LOVIN Vlad 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
5 JI Aidan Y. - 1% 8% 33% 42% 17%
6 LU Yikai - 2% 15% 42% 40%
7 LOVE Aaron - 1% 9% 34% 40% 15%
8 CHOE Jayden K. 5% 27% 41% 23% 4%
9 SMITH Erick 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
10 NUNNINK Phillip W. - - - 5% 32% 62%
11 TAHOUN Mostafa 2% 16% 38% 35% 9%
12 MURPHY Padraig M. 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
13 WANG Brayden 3% 23% 40% 27% 7% -
14 SANTOS Carlos R. 1% 23% 46% 24% 5% -
15 TANG August L. 8% 34% 39% 16% 2%
16 ZHAO Bowen 34% 43% 19% 3% -
17 WILKINS Mateo 11% 36% 37% 14% 2%
18 JAUME Andrei - 3% 18% 39% 34% 6%
19 BOYKO Miles 4% 41% 41% 12% 1% -
20 GNEUHS Sam 46% 41% 12% 1% -
21 FAN Yuchen 38% 45% 15% 2% - -
22 LOCKWOOD Jacob 85% 15% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.