Daugherty Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC Foil and Epee only

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, November 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Moolah Shrine Center - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 OH SEAN 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
2 TANG Albert 100% 95% 69% 28% 4%
3 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
3 LOVIN Vlad 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
5 JI Aidan Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 17%
6 LU Yikai 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
7 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 15%
8 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 95% 68% 27% 4%
9 SMITH Erick 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
10 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
11 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
12 MURPHY Padraig M. 100% 93% 67% 29% 5% -
13 WANG Brayden 100% 97% 74% 34% 7% -
14 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 99% 76% 29% 5% -
15 TANG August L. 100% 92% 58% 19% 2%
16 ZHAO Bowen 100% 66% 23% 4% -
17 WILKINS Mateo 100% 89% 53% 16% 2%
18 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 6%
19 BOYKO Miles 100% 96% 55% 14% 2% -
20 GNEUHS Sam 100% 54% 14% 2% -
21 FAN Yuchen 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
22 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 15% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.