MFA Friday Sanctioned Epee - OPEN

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, November 18, 2022 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 COHEN Benjamin A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
2 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
3 IVANOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 43%
5 JAKLITSCH Michael (Mike) T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 25%
6 RAJ Shrey 100% 99% 85% 49% 13% 1%
7 CHENG Zijun 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
8 NGUYEN Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 27%
9 ULINICH Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
10 BARNETT Devin 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
11 RICHARD Silas 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
12 BHARGAV Angad 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
13 STOREY Liam 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
14 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
15 SITTER Gregoire 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
16 PERALTA Christian 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
17 WILEY Erica 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
18 WEBB Ashton 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
19 WU Eric 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
20 CONTI Braeden 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
21 GOLDBERG Artie M. 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 1%
22 LIU Noah 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
23 LOGUE Paul 100% 98% 84% 45% 12% 1%
24 ABECK Eden 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
25 EPHRAIM Dennis Malcolm 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% -
26 HOROWITZ Jacob 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
27 CHIEM Karen 100% 94% 64% 20% 2% -
27 DUONG John 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
29 CHATTHA Amrik 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
30 HOLLAND Thomas 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
31 RISTOW Carsten 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
32 MAXIMILIAN Matteo 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
33 WEBB Jeremey 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
34 AGHAZARIAN Samuel G. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
35 TETALI Vishwanath 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
36 MORRIS GOTHREAU James 100% 66% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.