Event Preview
National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NACSunday, July 4, 2021 at 1:30 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3845 | 3942 - 3674 |
| 5 - 8 | 3484 | 3517 - 3435 |
| 9 - 16 | 3381 | 3438 - 3327 |
| 17 - 32 | 3246 | 3330 - 3169 |
| 33 - 64 | 3046 | 3189 - 2927 |
| 65 - 128 | 2660 | 2928 - 2320 |
| 129 - 192 | 1978 | 2500 - 1275 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.