Event Preview
National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NACSunday, July 4, 2021 at 1:30 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3868 | 4028 - 3800 |
| 5 - 8 | 3691 | 3756 - 3655 |
| 9 - 16 | 3546 | 3627 - 3493 |
| 17 - 32 | 3342 | 3489 - 3248 |
| 33 - 64 | 3096 | 3266 - 2957 |
| 65 - 128 | 2727 | 3033 - 2507 |
| 129 - 213 | 2080 | 2674 - 1162 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.