The Fencing Center RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, December 3, 2022 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	WANG Jessie	-	-	4%	21%	44%	30%
2	LIN ariel	-	-	4%	19%	39%	31%	7%
3	CAMAMA Tessa	-	-	4%	17%	36%	33%	10%
3	SALISTRA Emilia	-	2%	11%	29%	36%	19%	3%
5	SHARMA Sanvi	-	-	-	2%	12%	40%	46%
6	CHANG Celine A.	-	-	3%	14%	32%	35%	15%
7	CHUNG Penelope	-	3%	15%	36%	35%	12%
8	CHIRASHNYA Mika	-	3%	15%	31%	32%	16%	3%
9	MARTYNOVA Diana	-	-	1%	5%	22%	42%	30%
10	LAI Amanda	1%	10%	27%	34%	21%	6%	1%
11	BHATT Anisha	-	2%	11%	32%	38%	17%
12	SAID Riana	-	1%	9%	30%	42%	18%
13	MOLLINIER Angel	-	4%	18%	33%	29%	12%	2%
14	DAYAL Saahira	-	1%	6%	25%	40%	24%	4%
15	XU Celina	1%	7%	27%	40%	21%	4%
16	HAU Olivia	-	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
17	MULAGARI Swarasai	3%	18%	34%	30%	13%	3%	-
18	SIMHADRI Meghana	1%	8%	26%	35%	23%	7%	1%
19	DUONG Zoey	-	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	7%
20	JAMES Ashley	5%	26%	38%	23%	7%	1%	-
21	CHANG Abigail	-	5%	25%	39%	24%	6%	-
22	TSE Harmony	1%	9%	30%	37%	19%	3%
23	BLANCO Ariia	-	3%	19%	38%	31%	8%
24	ESTRADA Ariana	2%	16%	39%	32%	10%	1%
25	COHEN Shaina	11%	34%	34%	16%	4%	-	-
26	YIN Gabriela	-	6%	22%	34%	26%	9%	1%
27	MYERS Cal	13%	44%	33%	9%	1%	-
28	DALEY Keira	-	3%	15%	31%	32%	15%	3%
29	GILLIS-PADE Neallie	1%	12%	36%	35%	14%	2%	-
30	ENRILE Erica	-	-	2%	12%	30%	38%	19%
31	SCHOR Elisabeth	5%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
32	POON Desiree	-	6%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%
33	DAVIS Violet	34%	42%	19%	4%	-	-
34	LEE Valerie	4%	36%	40%	17%	3%	-	-
35	MU Kelsey	45%	40%	13%	2%	-	-
36	BANERJEE Eesha	20%	50%	24%	5%	-	-
37	CHEN Samantha	29%	42%	22%	6%	1%	-	-
37	MAGYARI-KOPE Ingrid	56%	34%	8%	1%	-	-	-
39	NAZARENKO Sasha	80%	18%	1%	-	-	-	-
40	JAIN Aashi	38%	42%	17%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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