Fairfax Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, & VET)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 23, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRILUTSKY David B. - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 19%
3 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
3 LUTAR Lucas N. - - - - 7% 37% 56%
5 RITCHIE Luke W. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
6 RECHLER Logan - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
7 TAQI Ahmad F. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
8 BAE Anthony - - 2% 15% 40% 42%
9 LIU Patrick - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
10 BRATTON Jack S. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
11 POLANSKY Solomon 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
12 ANDREWS Nathan J. - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
13 MAURER Ned (John) E. - - 1% 16% 44% 33% 5%
14 LIU Eric P. - 1% 6% 19% 35% 30% 10%
15 LOPEZ Carlos D. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
16 HUTH Jacob 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 2%
17 HUTH Mitchell 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
18 DIVENTI Paul W. 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
19 SLEDESKI Andrew - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
20 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
21 ROUNTREE Rob 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
22 WALTER Evran M. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
23 SMITH V Edward (Quin) A. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
24 BADRIGIAN William H. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
25 TOLENTINO Francis Jr B. 7% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
26 CHEN-LI David C. 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
27 LI Edward 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
28 TORO Alejandro 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
29 SHI Shenzhi 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
30 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1% -
31 LI Yulei 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
32 LABROZZI Aidan 35% 46% 17% 2% - - -
33 LE Vyn A. 5% 31% 49% 13% 1% - -
34 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
35 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas - 4% 24% 43% 24% 4% -
36 YEROKHIN Michael N. 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
37 GISLER Benjamin B. 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
38 GU Jeffrey 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
39 IYENGAR Amal N. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
40 ALONSOZANA Luke 4% 25% 38% 24% 8% 1% -
41 XIAO Anthony 6% 36% 39% 16% 3% - -
42 KIM Kevin 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
43 STURGIS Zachary C. 39% 41% 16% 3% - -
44 MALARSKI Daniel 21% 47% 27% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.