Fairfax Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, & VET)

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, March 23, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
2 PICCUS Isaac S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
3 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
3 ZHANG Tianyi 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
5 PARTRIDGE Lucas F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
6 LABROZZI Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
7 HU Andre B. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
8 XIAN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
9 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
10 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
11 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
12 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
13 LAWRENCE Brendan D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
14 STUBBLEFIELD Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
15 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
16 GUMAGAY Paul 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
17 LI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
18 MARKAS Justin W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
19 BADIOLI Carlo 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
20 LI Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
21 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 77% 32% 5% < 1% - -
22 KIM Minjun 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
23 KANACH Duncan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
24 LU Sebastian X. 100% 97% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
25 DEL CASTILLO Matthew Raymond M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 4%
26 KIM Dohyun D. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
27 GRENKE Brad 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
28 HOU Phi 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
29 ZHENG Brian 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
30 STEVENS Daniel 100% 97% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
31 HU Alexander W. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
32 LIU John 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
33 KENNEDY Kyle J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
34 RITCHIE Mark T. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
35 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 90% 54% 20% 4% - -
36 HABIB III David P. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
38 KUHN Jeffrey 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
39 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
40 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
41 OH Justin 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
41 WIEDE Gerd 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
43 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
44 HOFFMAN Shane C. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
45 LU Qi 100% 97% 82% 49% 19% 4% -
46 OBERLEITON Timothy 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
47 TATE Leon J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
48 AKOCS Ethan 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
49 AKOCS Tony 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.