December NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Monday, December 12, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 ELSISSY Ziad A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
5 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
6 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
7 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
8 LEE Justin 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
9 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
10 YEN Darren 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
11 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
12 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
13 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
14 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
15 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
16 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
17 MAROUF Eyad 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 12%
18 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
19 GUZZO Vito 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
20 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
21 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
22 COSTIN Michael V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
23 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1% -
24 WOODWARD Connor 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
25 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
26 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
27 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
28 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
29 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 6%
30 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
31 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
32 YANG Ziyi 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
33 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
34 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
35 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
36 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 40%
37 REN Junming 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
38 WANG Charles 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
39 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
40 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17% 1%
41 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
42 ROBERTS Sam 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
43 NOBLE Colin 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
44 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
45 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
46 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
47 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
48 DENG Andrew 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
49 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 3%
50 LE Hayden 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
51 REN James 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
52 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
53 LO Konnor 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
54 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
55 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
56 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
57 XU William 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11% -
58 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
59 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
60 WANG Eric Y. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 10% -
61 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
62 PANDEY Neil 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
63 KOLASA Thomas M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
64 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
65 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
66 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
67 MICLAUS Justin 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
68 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 8%
69 TANN Justin 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 7%
70 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
71 LI Minghan 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
72 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 99% 90% 55% 15% 1% -
73 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
74 NOBLE Daniel 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11% 1%
75 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
76 BULL Anderson 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
77 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3% -
78 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
79 HONG Rubin 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
80 DIACOS Jordan 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
81 ZHU Charlie 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
82 KOTOV Leonid 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
82 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
84 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
85 ZENG Noah 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
86 FENG Leo 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
87 TONG ZACHARY 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
88 KIM Alexander M. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
89 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
90 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
91 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
92 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
93 BUCHMANN Finn D. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
94 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 96% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
95 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
95 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 13% 2%
97 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% -
98 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 8% -
99 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
100 LIM William J. 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
101 HOLZ William A. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
101 WONG Ryan 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
103 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
103 HONG Steven 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
105 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
106 SCHERER Max 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
107 MARGULIES William 100% 91% 56% 20% 3% -
108 BONSELL Vance 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
109 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
110 LUO George F. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
111 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
112 FRIAS SAUL F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
113 OH Triton 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
114 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
115 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
116 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
117 YUN Jake 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
118 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
119 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 6%
120 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
120 PAN Alex 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
120 REN Richard 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
123 ZHOU Miles 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
124 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
125 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
126 CHOI Silas 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 4% -
127 BEITEL Noah 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
128 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
129 WANG Nicolas 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
130 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
130 LEE Aydan J. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
132 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
133 BAE Jason I. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
134 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
135 XU Andrew 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
136 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% -
137 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
138 PI Alexander 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
138 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
140 PENG Bryan 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
141 GANTA Vijay 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
142 STONE Esmond A. 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
143 WANG Robert 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
144 POPE Nico 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
145 BARRETO Elliott 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
146 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
147 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
148 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
149 VO Minh Q. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
150 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
150 QIU Nathan 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
152 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
153 BURR Tanner B. 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
154 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
155 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
156 BOSITA Carson 100% 74% 25% 4% - - -
157 NG Jeremiah 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
158 XU Luke 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
159 HAN William 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
160 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
161 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
162 SHOMAN Noah 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
163 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
164 LIU kelly 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 7% -
165 LEITH Jack 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
166 REYES Xavier M. 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
167 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.