IL. Div. Junior Olympic Qualifiers

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Patten Gymnasium Northwestern University - Evanston, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WANG David 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
2 JAMISON Harper 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
3 DENNIS Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
3 DHAL Leon 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
5 ROBERTS Jonah 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
6 DAS Roshan 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
7 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% -
8 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
9 YOON Brian 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
10 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 97% 75% 31% 4%
11 GROOTHUIS David 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
12 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
13 WEATHERLY Hugh 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
14 PATEL Aayan 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
15 SCHECHTER Noah 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
16 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 60% 17% 2% -
17 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 48% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.