The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, December 19, 2022 at 1:00 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Junzhe - - - - 4% 27% 68%
2 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - - - 3% 22% 75%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
3 BORISENKO Samuel - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
5 NAEMI Barsam 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
6 HERNDON Liam - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
7 TAI Edison - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
8 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
9 KUANG Bryan - 4% 18% 34% 32% 12%
10 WANG Joey - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
11 MEHROTRA Neel - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
12 DONG Haiyi - 2% 10% 28% 38% 19% 3%
13 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 5% 24% 45% 25%
14 YILMAZ Tarik - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
15 HUANG Yidong Allen - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
16 QIAN Irvine - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
17 SHAFFER Tyler 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 1%
18 RAHMAN Zayd 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
19 FU Adrian 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
20 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
21 LI Tristan 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5% -
22 WU Johnny y. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
23 CAFASSO Alexander 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
24 KIM Remington 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
25 KIM Alexander 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% -
26 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
27 RAHMAN Ali - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
28 YANG Gary 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
29 GUO Woody - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
30 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
31 OLSON Joseph - 2% 11% 29% 37% 20% 2%
32 WANG Devin 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
33 SATHYAN Dev 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
34 LEUNG Dylan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
35 NGUYEN Ethan 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
36 XUE Michael 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
37 MA Houhin 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
38 CHEN Aiden 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
39 WALKER Mclain 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
40 TUMULA Arihaan 11% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
41 ROBERTS Arthur 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
42 WU Nathan 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
43 LIU Max 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
44 CHOW Austin 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
45 ABDURAIMOV Ulugbek 3% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
46 YUE Bryan 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
47 HANTOV Adrian 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
48 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
48 ALI Rayan - - 1% 10% 33% 42% 14%
50 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
51 LI Bryan 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
52 SU Samuel 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
53 DING Max 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
54 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
55 WU MiEr 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
56 FRENCH Drake - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
57 DU Evan 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
58 LIU Austin 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
59 VEERAVALLI Pranav 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
60 PLUMMER Kellan 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
61 JAMES Kaden 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
62 GEVA Reuben 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
63 CAMPOS Sebastian 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
64 ABAD Mateo 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
65 RIEDL Luke 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
66 ARMSTRONG Hendry 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
67 YOON Jonathan 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
68 KHAVKIN Alexander 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
69 JERKINS Gianni 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
70 XU Kevin 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
71 INGLE Jack 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
72 GONIMA Francisco 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
73 THOMSON Woodlee 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.