The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, December 19, 2022 at 1:00 PM

The Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
2 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
5 NAEMI Barsam 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
6 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
7 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
8 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
9 KUANG Bryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
10 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
11 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 44% 9%
12 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
13 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
14 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
15 HUANG Yidong Allen 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
16 QIAN Irvine 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 12%
17 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 12% 1%
18 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
19 FU Adrian 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
20 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
21 LI Tristan 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5% -
22 WU Johnny y. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
23 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
24 KIM Remington 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
25 KIM Alexander 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% -
26 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
27 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
28 YANG Gary 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
29 GUO Woody 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
30 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
31 OLSON Joseph 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
32 WANG Devin 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
33 SATHYAN Dev 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
34 LEUNG Dylan 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
35 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
36 XUE Michael 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
37 MA Houhin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
38 CHEN Aiden 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 15% 2%
39 WALKER Mclain 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
40 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
41 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
42 WU Nathan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
43 LIU Max 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
44 CHOW Austin 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
45 ABDURAIMOV Ulugbek 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
46 YUE Bryan 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
47 HANTOV Adrian 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
48 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 88% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
48 ALI Rayan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
50 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
51 LI Bryan 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
52 SU Samuel 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
53 DING Max 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
54 FREEMAN Jake Matthew 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
55 WU MiEr 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
56 FRENCH Drake 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
57 DU Evan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
58 LIU Austin 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
59 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
60 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
61 JAMES Kaden 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
62 GEVA Reuben 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
63 CAMPOS Sebastian 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
64 ABAD Mateo 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
65 RIEDL Luke 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
66 ARMSTRONG Hendry 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
67 YOON Jonathan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
68 KHAVKIN Alexander 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
69 JERKINS Gianni 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
70 XU Kevin 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
71 INGLE Jack 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
72 GONIMA Francisco 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% -
73 THOMSON Woodlee 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.