January NAC

Vet-50 Men's Épée

Friday, January 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAINES Aaron 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
2 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
3 LICHTEN Keith H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 56%
3 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
5 NORMILE Jon M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
6 TEITENBERG John F. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 37% 8%
7 GATES Darcy C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40% 6%
8 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
9 EXUM Travis H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
10 MEHALL Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
11 WHEELER Daniel 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
12 KALAPASEV Nenad (Ned) (Ned) S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
13 LOEFFLER Carl E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 7%
14 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
15 KORSCHUN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 4%
16 POPOKH Leo 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
17 BUCKLEY Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
18 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 98% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
19 EDWARDS Tim 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
20 GRANDBOIS Peter R. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
21 YAO Shun 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
22 GERACI Paul A. 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 4% -
23 GILLHAM Timothy A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
24 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
25 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 4%
26 CAMPBELL Alex 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
27 KLINE R. Jay 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
28 FOLEY Kevin 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
29 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
30 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
31 BOLDUC PATRICE 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
32 MAR Kevin 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
33 SANCHEZ Leon D. 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1% -
34 BRUS Brian V. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
35 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 99% 93% 75% 44% 15% 2%
36 GUMAGAY Paul 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
37 GAUVEY Ken C. 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
38 STEWART Robert 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
39 HUESKE David B. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
40 ROOD Alex 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
41 BECK Brian C. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
42 KROGH Daniel (Dan) M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 11% 1%
43 DAVIS Andrew 100% 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
44 SIMS Martin L. 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
45 CRAFT David M. 100% 28% 3% - - - -
46 CISNEROS Robert A. 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
47 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% - -
48 RIFKIND Neil 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.