South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Junior Men's Foil

Monday, January 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Visitors Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
3 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
5 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
6 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
7 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
8 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
9 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
10 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
11 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
12 MA Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
13 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
14 LI Jett 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 3%
15 PARK Ryan 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
16 BLAM Matthew 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
17 RENTERIA Emiliano 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
18 NGUYEN Liam 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
19 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
20 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 5%
21 BARTSCH Henry 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
22 OH Jaden 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
23 KIM Derek A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
24 PONS Diego 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
25 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% 1%
26 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
27 RUBIN Max 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% -
28 ZHANG Matthew 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
29 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 88% 33% 5% - -
30 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
31 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 93% 58% 18% 2%
32 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
33 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 6%
34 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
35 LAM Nicolas 100% 98% 79% 36% 7% 1%
35 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 90% 49% 13% 1% -
37 PARK Sky 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 4%
38 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
39 BAE Eugene 100% 96% 62% 20% 3% - -
40 GONZALEZ Matthew 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
41 MA Bryant 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23% 2%
42 BORG Matthew 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
43 PINCHENG Yao 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
44 ADAMS Cedric 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
45 NAVARRO Kato 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
46 DALVA Michael 100% 98% 72% 28% 5% - -
47 KRAUSE Colin 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% - -
48 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
49 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
50 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% - -
51 YORK Lucas 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
52 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
53 DAYAL Vedant 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
54 CHEN Brian 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
55 KUO Jayden 100% 25% 2% - - -
56 KALAMAS Nikolas 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
57 SHORTER David Alexander 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
58 ELVANDER Ethan 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
58 BORDIER Timeo 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
60 YUAN Jonathan 100% 26% 3% - - - -
61 DULAI Angad 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.