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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2023 UGA Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 8:15 AM

Hugh Mills Physical Education Complex - Gainesville, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BASKIN Miles - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
2 JAAFAR Hamza 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
3 HAN Ethan - 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5%
3 CAFFIAUX Benjamin - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
5 MALIKOV Zinnun - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
6 MAXWELL Austin - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
7 MCFARLAND Kai - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
8 JUNG Elliot 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
9 ZHANG Eric - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
10 MARSHALL Wesley - - - 1% 6% 30% 64%
11 ILENRE Roni 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
12 PAK Joel 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
13 CHOI David 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% -
14 HONG Ryan - 2% 17% 39% 33% 8%
15 MESA Brian C. - 1% 6% 24% 40% 24% 5%
16 PARK Judy - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
17 KRIEGER Jack - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
18 KUMAR Anusha 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1% -
19 ROSS Connor - 5% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
20 WILLIAMS Eli - 4% 32% 42% 19% 2%
21 SHAFRITZ Noah 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
22 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
23 DONGES Anna - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
24 KERTESZ Stefan G. - 1% 7% 29% 43% 21%
25 YANG Maximus - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
26 NG Joshua Z. - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
27 BYBEE Lucy J. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
28 SINGH Siddhant - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
29 LEE Daehyeon 1% 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
29 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh - 1% 9% 34% 39% 15% 2%
31 MANN Justin - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
32 WANG Zarina 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
33 PULLEN Ayah - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
34 ROCKWELL Nolan 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
35 HAMBRICK Addison 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
36 CHUNG Joseph - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
37 LE Kevin 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
38 DAVIS Kelly - - 3% 22% 51% 21% 3%
39 NICKERSON Oliver 3% 17% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
40 ATON Dave - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
41 HONG Robin 14% 47% 35% 3% - -
42 CHOI Adam - 6% 30% 44% 18% 2%
43 FAN Yuchen 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
44 ROBERTS Quinton 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
45 ARZT Nicholas 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
46 LY Gabriel 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
47 KREISER Alexander 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
48 JACKSON Viktoria 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% -
49 JIN Dongwoo 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
50 YAWN Joshua 23% 44% 27% 6% 1% -
51 MACKEVICIUS Nykolas 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 3%
52 CORDOVA Colin 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
53 ALVARENGA Darby 46% 43% 10% 1% - -
54 MCDANIEL Eamon 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
55 THOMAS Ethan 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
56 CATES Georgia - 2% 15% 40% 35% 7% -
57 DAVIS Elisabeth 19% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
58 CHOI Caister 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
59 VALDEZ Lorena 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
60 MCGILLIAN Joseph 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
61 GHOLSTON Alex 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
62 HOLLERS Eden 43% 42% 14% 2% - - -
63 RAVITA Henry 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
64 DAVIS Shanna 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
65 BASKIN Julia 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.