2023 UGA Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 8:15 AM

Hugh Mills Physical Education Complex - Gainesville, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BASKIN Miles 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
2 JAAFAR Hamza 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
3 HAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
3 CAFFIAUX Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
5 MALIKOV Zinnun 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
6 MAXWELL Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
7 MCFARLAND Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
8 JUNG Elliot 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
9 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
10 MARSHALL Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
11 ILENRE Roni 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
12 PAK Joel 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
13 CHOI David 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% -
14 HONG Ryan 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
15 MESA Brian C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
16 PARK Judy 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
17 KRIEGER Jack 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
18 KUMAR Anusha 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1% -
19 ROSS Connor 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
20 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 95% 63% 21% 2%
21 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
22 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
23 DONGES Anna 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
24 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
25 YANG Maximus 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
26 NG Joshua Z. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
27 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
28 SINGH Siddhant 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
29 LEE Daehyeon 100% 99% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
29 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
31 MANN Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
32 WANG Zarina 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
33 PULLEN Ayah 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
34 ROCKWELL Nolan 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
35 HAMBRICK Addison 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
36 CHUNG Joseph 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
37 LE Kevin 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
38 DAVIS Kelly 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 24% 3%
39 NICKERSON Oliver 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
40 ATON Dave 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
41 HONG Robin 100% 86% 39% 3% - -
42 CHOI Adam 100% 100% 94% 64% 21% 2%
43 FAN Yuchen 100% 61% 20% 4% - -
44 ROBERTS Quinton 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
45 ARZT Nicholas 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
46 LY Gabriel 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
47 KREISER Alexander 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
48 JACKSON Viktoria 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
49 JIN Dongwoo 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
50 YAWN Joshua 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
51 MACKEVICIUS Nykolas 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
52 CORDOVA Colin 100% 97% 74% 37% 10% 1%
53 ALVARENGA Darby 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
54 MCDANIEL Eamon 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
55 THOMAS Ethan 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
56 CATES Georgia 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 8% -
57 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
58 CHOI Caister 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
59 VALDEZ Lorena 100% 71% 28% 6% - -
60 MCGILLIAN Joseph 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
61 GHOLSTON Alex 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
62 HOLLERS Eden 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
63 RAVITA Henry 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
64 DAVIS Shanna 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
65 BASKIN Julia 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.