Forge Fencing Priority on NC:D3 Foil/Epee/Saber

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FORT David 100% 100% 99% 85% 25%
2 MOL Spencer 100% 100% 92% 58% 13%
3 KLEIN Andrew J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
3 ETIN Ari 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
5 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
6 LE Brandon 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
7 TODD Phoebe 100% 100% 99% 81% 34%
8 MAHER Jason 100% 93% 61% 19% 2%
9 XIE Nora 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
10 TAYLOR Wise 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 11%
11 FRUTH Evan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
12 EYSTER Edison 100% 96% 73% 30% 3%
13 HUANG Neila 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
14 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 89% 55% 19% 3%
15 MOL Justin 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
16 RATTANA Anushawn 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
17 LAWRENCE Addison 100% 98% 78% 34% 6% -
18 WIGGS Andrew 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
19 FOLK William 100% 60% 14% 1% -
20 THARRINGTON Samuel 100% 70% 25% 4% -
21 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 75% 22% 2% -
23 LEE Angela 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.