Forge Fencing Priority on NC:D3 Foil/Epee/Saber

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 22, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 18%
2 BLONDEL Leo O. 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 KAUNITZ Emmanuel 100% 100% 87% 24%
3 TSAI Caleb 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
5 HOPEL Seth 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
6 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
7 YOON Joshua Seokhyun 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
8 YAN James 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
9 ROTHMAN Matthew 100% 100% 95% 59%
10 TSAI Steven 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 4%
11 KARNAVAS William 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
12 OWENS Elise 100% 90% 49% 12% 1% -
13 THU John 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
14 AMOROSO John 100% 87% 25% 2%
15 KAPLAN Abe 100% 84% 44% 11% 1%
16 RUSSELL James 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
17 ZHANG Vicky 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
18 MENECHELLA Matthew 100% 81% 40% 10% 1%
19 LAWRENCE Addison 100% 20% - -
20 FALK Zoe 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
21 FALK Abigail 100% 89% 50% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.