American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Aidan J. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
2 PRINCE Nicholas J. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
3 FARRAG Sherif G. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
5 BLUTT Emerson B. 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
6 LIU Niles J. - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
7 YU Vinni - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 4%
8 WU Albert 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
9 CANDESCU Cristian - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
10 SPIRLI Francesco 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
11 CHO Justin Y. - 1% 11% 37% 40% 10%
12 HEALY Griffen - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
13 KASI Sanjay 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
14 LOCKWOOD Owen - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
15 GEE Brandon 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
17 EMMER Chase T. - - - 3% 17% 41% 37%
18 JANG Jaewon 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
19 MA Alexander - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
20 GRIGORIEV Eduard - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
21 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
22 BROOKES Scott L. - 7% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
23 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
24 ZHOU Timmy 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
25 BADRIGIAN William H. 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
26 LIU Eric P. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
27 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - 4% 22% 42% 26% 5%
28 RITCHIE Luke W. 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
29 WU Wesley E. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
30 REGE Advaith 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
31 DICKSON Farr R. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
32 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% -
33 BATRAK Alexander 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
34 LIN Richard W. - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
35 WETMORE Lucas W. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
36 HEWES Thomas G. 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
37 HO Ryan J. 9% 26% 33% 22% 8% 2% -
38 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7%
39 SIEGEL Elliot 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
40 LEE Daniel C. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
41 MILLER Trent D. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
42 O'BRIEN Jack K. 1% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1% -
43 LAWRENCE John W. 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
44 ZHANG Henry C. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
45 IVARSSON Oliver 4% 20% 34% 29% 12% 2%
46 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
46 COOK John J. 9% 33% 39% 17% 2% - -
48 HERGERT Benito - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
49 ONIK Elijah T. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
50 RINEHART Conner M. 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
51 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
51 RECHLER Logan 14% 37% 35% 13% 1% - -
53 ENGEL Henry R. 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
54 FU Samuel Y. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.